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Brazil's presidential elections
4 | November | 2022

In a close vote and a record turnout, Lula da Silva was elected in the second round with 50.9 % of the votes. It is the first time in the history of Brazil that an incumbent President is not re-elected, in an electoral process that was probably the most polarised in Brazilian democracy. However, many supporters of the defeated candidate did not accept the results and took the streets in protests, closing roads and spreading fears that violence would take on destabilising proportions.

 

Resources | Opinions & Analysis | Editorials | News 

 

 

Resources
Divulgação dos resultados das Eleições 2022
Tribunal Superior Eleitoral

International IDEA statement on the second round of the Brazilian presidential election 2022 [31/10/2022]
IDEA

Poll Tracker: Brazil’s 2022 Presidential Election
Chase Harrison, Council of Americas

Explainer: Brazil's 2022 General Election
Chase Harrison, Council of Americas

 

Opinions & Analysis
Lula da Silva, el día después: de la polarización a la grieta [04/11/2022]
Marcelo Cantelmi, Clarín

The Magic Numbers Lula Will Need to Govern [03/11/2022]
Creomar De Souza, Americas Quarterl

Why Brazil’s election outcome matters to global democracy [03/11/2022]
Niranjan Sahoo, ORF

Brasil vuelve a estar en el mundo [02/11/2022]
Ana Tereza Marra De Souza, Diego A. Azzi & Gilberto M. A. Rodrigues, ES Global

Brasil ha vencido a la catástrofe [02/11/2022]
Eliane Brum, El País

Brazil’s new president inherits huge economic challenges [31/10/2022]
Christopher Sabatini & Lilia Caiado Couto, Chatham House

Now Lula Has to Prove His Pro-Democracy Credentials Outside Brazil [31/10/2022]
James Bosworth, World Politics Review

Brazil election: victorious Lula faces an uphill struggle – a damaged economy and a deeply divided country [31/10/2022]
Anthony Pereira, The Conversation

REACTION: A Third Term for Brazil’s Lula [31/10/2022]
AA.VV., Americas Quarterly

Bolsonarism After Bolsonaro [31/10/2022]
Camila Villard Duran, Project Syndicate

Brésil: quel tournant pour le bolsonarisme? [31/10/2022]
Bruno Ronchi & Lucas Camargo Gomes, The Conversation

Cautious optimism lies ahead for the Brazilian Amazon [31/10/2022]
Ana Yang & Ana Toni, Chatham House

What If Jair Bolsonaro Wins? [25/10/2022]
Oliver Stuenkel, Americas Quarterly

Élections présidentielles au Brésil : quels enjeux à une semaine du second tour? [24/10/2022]
Thomas Traumann, Institut Montaigne

Brazil’s presidential runoff is between two populists [24/10/2022]
Zoila Ponce de León & Gabriele Magni, Monkey Cage

A eleição no Brasil e o que significaria um segundo mandato de Bolsonaro [23/10/2022]
Guilherme Simões Reis, LatinoAmerica 21

How Bolsonaro Might Win—Even if He Loses: The Triumph of Brazil’s Far Right [20/10/2022]
Brian Winter, Foreign Affairs

The Rise of Congress Will Have Consequences for Brazil’s Victor [20/10/2022]
Lucas De Aragão, Americas Quarterly

Bolsonarism has already won in Brazil, even if Bolsonaro loses [17/10/2022]
Raphael Tsavkko Garcia, Al Jazeera

As eleições brasileiras de 2022 e a América Latina: descontinuidade e descontentamento [17/10/2022]
Arthur Ituassu, LatinoAmerica 21

Brazil’s Next President Will Govern a Polarized and Angry Country [17/10/2022]
James Bosworth, World Politics Review

Bolsonaro Is One Step Closer to a Power Grab [05/10/2022]
Andre Pagliarini, New York Times

Brazil’s Polarizing Runoff [05/10/2022]
Diana Roy, CFR

Bolsonaro may yet spring a surprise in Brazil [05/10/2022]
Richard Lapper, Chatham House

Brazil’s October 2 Election Results Evoke Disappointment and Hope [04/10/2022]
Gladys Mitchell-Walthour, NACLA

Processo eleitoral no Brasil: percepção e análise na imprensa portuguesa [04/10/2022]
Bruno Santos Fonseca, Blogue do Imakay

Why Everyone Keeps Underestimating Bolsonaro's Election Chances in Brazil [04/10/2022]
Brian Winter, Time

¿Lula lá? Victoria progresista y derecha subterrânea [04/10/2022]
Pablo Stefanoni, Nueva Sociedad

The lesson from the first round of Brazil’s election: Bolsonarismo is here to stay [04/10/2022]
Christopher Sabatini, The Guardian

Vencer al bolsonarismo va a ser mucho más difícil de lo que imaginábamos [03/10/2022]
Esther Solano, El País

Waiting For the Generals [03/10/2022]
Francisco Toro, Persuasion

Voto útil e bolsonarismo em São Paulo [03/10/2022]
Flávia Biroli, Folha de S. Paulo

La excepcionalidad de Brasil en América Latina [03/10/2022]
Manuel Canelas, El País

Bolsonaro has tried to load the dice for today’s election in Brazil [02/10/2022]
Fernando Bizzarro, Monkey Cage

Why are so many police and military candidates running in Brazil? [02/10/2022]
Isabel Laterzo, Monkey Cage

Bolsonaro Might Be Beaten, and It Feels Too Good to Be True [30/09/2022]
Vanessa Barbara, New York Times

Brazil may have its own January 6 moment – or worse [29/09/2022]
Erika Robb Larkins & Lucas Louback, Al Jazeera

Brazil Bracing for its Own ‘Big Lie’ as Disinformation Looms Large in Upcoming Election [29/09/2022]
The Soufan Center

Bolsonarismo After Bolsonaro [29/09/2022]
Andre Pagliarini, Project Syndicate

Brazil’s election goes beyond a battle between left and right – democracy is also on the ballot [27/09/2022]
Jeffrey W. Rubin & Rafael R. Ioris, The Conversation

Eleições no Brasil: um voto pela democracia [27/09/2022]
María Villarreal, Latinamerica21

A Strategic Moment for the U.S.-Brazil Relationship [26/09/2022]
Ryan Berg & P. Michael Mckinley, Americas Quarterly

Religion is shaping Brazil’s presidential election – but its evangelicals aren’t the same as America’s [26/09/2022]
Amy Erica Smith, The Conversation

Brazil’s election and the search for an economic revival [25/09/2022]
Bryan Harris & Michael Pooler, Financial Times

Brazil’s China-Heavy Election [24/09/2022]
Igor Patrick, The Diplomat

Brazil’s Democracy Confronts the Looming Threat of Election Denial [22/09/2022]
Philip Friedrich, Freedom House

Los tres retos de Lula frente a las elecciones brasileñas [22/09/2022]
Juan Arias, El País

Why Beijing Wants Bolsonaro to Win [22/09/2022]
Oliver Stuenkel, Foreign Policy

Brazil’s Looming Presidential Election [22/09/2022]
Scott B. MacDonald, Global Americans

El riesgo de ruptura democrática el día después de las elecciones en Brasil [21/09/2022]
Ana Tereza Marra De Souza, Diego A. Azzi & Gilberto M. A. Rodrigues, ES Global

Brazil’s Global Ambitions [19/09/2022]
Diana Roy, CFR

La rendición de cuentas electoral y la calidad de la democracia en Brasil: pensando en lo impensable [14/09/2022]
Carlos Domínguez Avila, Latinamerica21

Two Rallies, Two Brazils, and a Still Uncertain Election [13/09/2022]
Brian Winter, Americas Quarterly

Brazil Has Never Been So Prepared to Fight Fake News [12/09/2022]
Cristina Tardáguila, Americas Quarterly

The Imminent Election Crisis in Brazil [31/08/2022]
Brian Winter, Americas Quarterly

La policía da la espalda a Bolsonaro [30/08/2022]
Juan Arias, El País

Dios y el demonio entran con fuerza en la campaña de Brasil [18/08/2022]
Juan Arias, El País

La primera dama y el diablo [17/08/2022]
Eliane Brum, El País

Bolsonaro Is Right to Fear Jail [08/08/2022]
Vanessa Barbara, New York Times

Escenarios de Brasil: catástrofe, golpe o dificultad extrema [03/08/2022]
Eliane Brum, El País

Bolsonaro Won’t Accept Defeat in Brazil’s Upcoming Presidential Election [08/07/2022]
James Bosworth, World Politics Review

Why Foreign Policy Matters for Brazil’s Election [05/07/2022]
Julia Dias Leite & Feliciano De Sá Guimarães, Americas Quarterly

Can Brazil Turn Back the Clock? Latin America’s Nostalgia Trap and the Return of Lula [07/2022]
Brian Winter, Foreign Affairs

There Will Not Be a Coup in Brazil [29/06/2022]
Raul Jungmann, Americas Quarterly

Brazil’s Election: A Looming Crisis for Washington [13/06/2022]
Nicholas Zimmerman & Roberto Simon, Americas Quarterly

Brazil’s foreign policy strategy after the 2022 elections [01/06/2022]
Oliver Stuenkel, Elcano

Brazil’s 2022 election: reading the runes [17/02/2022]
Alvaro Crósta & Alistair Clark, LAB

Brazil Turns, Lula Returns [05/01/2022]
Vincent Bevins, New York Review of Books

Alckmin, o inacreditável candidato a vice de Lula [24/12/2021]
Guilherme Simões Reis, LatinoAmerica21

Why Lula vs Bolsonaro Leaves Little Room for Others [26/11/2021]
Oliver Stuenkel, Americas Quarterly

 

 

Editorials
To win Brazil’s presidency, Lula should move to the centre [04/10/2022]
The Economist

Lula, a por la segunda vuelta [03/10/2022]
El País

Palanques regionais e o segundo turno presidencial [03/10/2022]
Folha de São Paulo

Brazil’s imperfect presidential election [29/09/2022]
Financial Times

Brazil’s election: never mind the voters – Bolsonaro plans to win [13/09/2022]
The Guardian

Win or lose, Jair Bolsonaro poses a threat to Brazilian democracy [08/09/2022]
The Economist

Brasil en campaña [19/08/2022]
El País

 

News
Presidente do TSE apresenta números do 2º turno das Eleições 2022 [04/11/2022]
Tribunal Superior Eleitoral

Brasil emprende el traspaso de poder del Gobierno Bolsonaro al equipo de Lula [03/11/2022]
Naiara Galarraga & Gortázarjon Martín Cullell

Na véspera da eleição, Lula tem 52%, e Bolsonaro, 48% [30/10/2022]
Datafolha

Brazil’s Polls Were Wrong. Now the Right Wants to Criminalize Them. [24/10/2022]
André Spigariol & Jack Nicas, New York Times

Ipec: veja a intenção de votos para os candidatos ao governo dos 12 estados em que há 2º turno [23/10/2022]
g1

Ipec, corrida presidencial no 2º turno: Lula e Bolsonaro lideram em 5 estados cada um [22/10/2022]
g1

‘A clash of two Brazils’: presidential election divides voters – even gangsters [21/10/2022]
Tom Phillips, The Guardian

To Fight Lies, Brazil Gives One Man Power Over Online Speech [21/10/2022]
Jack Nicas, The New York Times

Brazil’s fearsome militias: mafia boom increases threat to democracy [18/10/2022]
Tom Phillips, The Guardian

‘Lula represents hope’: Brazil presidential frontrunner takes his message into Rio’s favelas [18/10/2022]
Tom Phillips, The Guardian

Lula brands Bolsonaro ‘tiny little dictator’ in Brazil TV debate [17/10/2022]
Tom Phillips, The Guardian

Trump Allies Campaign Online for Bolsonaro and Spread Lies about Electoral Fraud [12/10/2022]
Laura Scofield, NACLA

‘Lula menosprezou o eleitor’ ao não apresentar programa de governo e focar no passado, diz Tebet [06/10/2022]
Pedro Venceslau, Estadão

Brazil election: The presidential race is far from over [05/10/2022]
Katy Watson, BBC

PDT, PSDB e Cidadania fazem reuniões nesta terça para definir apoio no 2º turno para presidente [04/10/2022]
g1

Brazil election: Do voting machines lead to fraud? [04/10/2022]
Juliana Gragnani & Jake Horton, BBC

Las encuestas subestiman a Bolsonaro, pero aciertan con Lula y la segunda vuelta [03/10/2022]
Jorge Galindo, El País

Veja quais são as cidades que mais apoiaram Lula e Bolsonaro no primeiro turno das eleições 2022 [03/10/2022]
Fernanda Berlinck e Clara Velasco, g1

Elecciones en Brasil: el mapa que muestra la división norte-sur (y qué necesitarían Lula y Bolsonaro para ganar en segunda vuelta) [03/10/2022]
BBC News

Bolsonaro Outperforms Polls and Forces Runoff Against Lula in Brazil’s Presidential Election [03/10/2022]
Jack Nicas, NYT

Why did the Brazil election pollsters get Bolsonaro’s vote so wrong? [03/10/2022]
Jon Henley, The Guardian

Ficou Para Dia 30 [02/10/2022]
Luigi Mazza, Piaui

Bolsonaro Outperforms Polls and Forces Runoff Against Lula in Brazil’s Presidential Election [02/10/2022]
Jack Nicas, New York Times

The Unknowns and Risks of Brazil’s Most Polarized Election [30/09/2022]
Emiliano Guanella, ISPI

Fate of Amazon rests on Brazil election, say experts [30/09/2022]
Damian Carrington, The Guardian

If Brazil’s President Attempts a Coup, What Will the Police Do? [29/09/2022]
Amanda Taub, New York Times

EU lawmakers on Brazil's Bolsonaro: Respect vote or face sanctions [29/09/2022]
Reuters

Geraldo Alckmin, el adversario de centroderecha y aliado de Lula para derrotar a Bolsonaro [29/09/2022]
Naiara Galarraga Gortázar, El País

Brazil's Lula says U.S. will quickly recognize election result [27/09/2022]
Reuters

Lula apela al voto útil e intenta atraer a los indecisos en la recta final para las elecciones de Brasil [27/09/2022]
Naiara Galarraga Gortázarjon & Martín Cullell, El País

Brasil vive una avalancha de diputados y candidatos con placa y pistola [27/09/2022]
Naiara Galarraga Gortázar, El País

Lula Support Steady, Enough for Outright Win in New Brazil Poll [26/09/2022]
Andrew Rosati, Bloomberg

Jair Bolsonaro’s supporters reject bad news from Brazil election polls [26/09/2022]
Bryan Harris, Michael Pooler & Carolina Ingizza, Financial Times

Evangélicos, el codiciado voto que puede decidir el presidente de Brasil [25/09/2022]
Naiara Galarraga Gortázar, El País

Elecciones en Brasil: Steve Bannon, el estratega de Trump, explica por qué considera a Bolsonaro un "héroe" y por qué está "fascinado" con Lula [22/09/2022]
BBC News

La sombra de los militares brasileños se cierne sobre el sistema de votación [22/09/2022]
Joan Royo Gual, El País

Bolsonaro tries red scare tactics in Brazil election by raising spectre of Nicaragua [21/09/2022]
Tom Phillips, The Guardian

Lula amplía su ventaja sobre Bolsonaro de cara a elecciones en Brasil [21/09/2022]
America Economia

Brazil’s Evangelical Leftist [19/09/2022]
Ana Ionova, Americas Quarterly

Jair Bolsonaro uses visit to London for Queen’s funeral as ‘election soapbox’ [18/09/2022]
Tom Phillips, The Guardian

Fanático de Bolsonaro mata a partidario de Lula mientras aumentan las tensiones electorales en Brasil [09/09/2022]
America Economia

Bolsonaro turns Brazil’s bicentennial into campaign rally [08/09/2022]
Carla Bridi & Mauricio Savarese, Associated Press

On Brazil’s Bicentennial, Softer Rhetoric From a President [07/09/2022]
Jack Nicas, New York Times

Bolsonaro deploys evangelical wife in Brazil’s polarised presidential race [06/09/2022]
Financial Times

Brazilian Officials Reach Truce on Voting Machines Targeted by Bolsonaro [31/08/2022]
André Spigariol & Jack Nicas, The New York Times

La campaña electoral de Brasil se cuela en Chile: Boric cita al embajador en Santiago por los ataques de Bolsonaro [30/08/2022]
Federico Rivas Molina & Naiara Galarraga Gortázar, El País

Brésil: Lula et Bolsonaro s’affrontent dans le premier débat de la campagne présidentielle [29/08/2022]
Le Monde

Lula y Bolsonaro se enfrentan por la paga para los más pobres y la corrupción en el primer debate [29/08/2022]
Naiara Galarraga Gortázar, El País

Ciro Gomes, el tercero en discordia que aún asoma la cabeza entre Lula y Bolsonaro [28/08/2022]
Joan Royo Gual, El País

Lula regresa al horario estelar en la televisión de Brasil [27/08/2022]
Naiara Galarraga Gortázar, El País

The Question Menacing Brazil’s Elections: Coup or No Coup? [22/08/2022]
Jack Nicas & André Spigariol, The New York Times

Lula promete un gran plan de obras públicas para revitalizar la economía de Brasil si gana las elecciones [22/08/2022]
Naiara Galarraga Gortázar, El País

El arma millonaria de Bolsonaro para arrancar votos a Lula: una paga para pobres [20/08/2022]
Naiara Galarraga Gortázar, El País

PT oficializa candidatura de Lula à presidência [22/07/2022]
Jornal do Comércio

Bolsonaro Gathers Foreign Diplomats to Cast Doubt on Brazil’s Elections [19/07/2022]
Jack Nicas & André Spigariol, The New York Times

Veja quando os pré-candidatos a presidente irão começar a campanha eleitoral [11/07/2022]
Danilo Moliterno Gabriela Ghiraldelli & Salma Freua, CNN

Pré-campanha: o que pode e o que não pode até o início da campanha eleitoral [11/07/2022]
Arthur Stabile, g1

Lula reúne conselho político da pré-campanha em meio a violência eleitoral [11/07/2022]
Catia Seabra & Victoria Azevedo, Folha de São Paulo

Os desafios para os palanques de Bolsonaro, Lula e Ciro nos estados [02/07/2022]
Arthur Stabile, Globo

Eleição de 2022 terá campanha mais curta desde 1994: veja prazos para eleitores e pré-candidatos [25/06/2022]
Arthur Stabile, g1

Bolsonaro’s New Ally in Questioning Brazil’s Elections: The Military [12/06/2022]
Jack Nicas, The New York Times

No Parlamento Europeu, Lula mantém suspense e não nega Alckmin como vice [15/11/2021]
RFI